Headlines: Durable Goods orders are up 1.9% vs. an expected 0.5%
Missing Item: The prior report was revised DOWN to -2.1% from a -0.8%, a miss of 263%. Any guess what percentage the current report will be revised down the next time?
Headlines: New home sales edged up 0.3% in April.
Missing Item: Mortgage delinquencies hit a record 12% for homeowners.
The CEO of Exxon Mobil (XOM) said the recent jump in the price of oil does not signal an economic recovery. (WSJ)
Why do I remain optimistic? Mortgage rates should remain low with little significant upward pressure.
...and that government of the people, by the people, for the people shall not perish from the earth.
~ Abraham Lincoln The Gettysburg Address
When did we become a government concerned more with saving failing banks?
Among new congressional proposals is a plan — already on its way through Congress — that would increase the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation's borrowing authority from $30 billion to $100 billion in order to grant a two year reprieve from higher deposit insurance premiums while the industry is struggling.
Why should failed banks get a reprieve from insurance that protects us from their mischievous ways? Over leverage, greed, downright stupidity.
Many of you are having trouble with your house payments, utilities, tuition (if you have a child in college or a private school), credit cards and/or car payments. Too many of us have had our secured credit lines cut by the same lending institutions who were begging us two years ago to take them out and use them.
This past week I received a call from a past client who has seen his minimum payment on his credit card triple. How is that helping the credit situation?
The answer is it doesn't. But it helps that financial institution retain the image of solvency.
~ The Beatles
Where it all ends I can't fathom, my friends.If I knew, I might toss out my anchor.So I'll cruise along always searchin' for songs,Not a lawyer, a thief or a banker.
~ Jimmy Buffet
• With all due respect to any lawyer or thief... And that's Jimmy Buffet not Warren Buffet (was Warren calling Wells Fargo "fabulous" an example of "talking your book"?)
• Today in America, as a banker you can have your cake and eat it, too. You can wager the house, lose, collect your bonus and then get bailed out by the American tax payer.
• As a bank that is too big to fail, you can have it both ways.
• Aren't the banks here to serve us?
• In the Beatles' song Penny Lane, what was it that Lennon and McCarthy were saying? A banker not wearing a raincoat in the pouring rain: imagery for today's economic storm and the fact that we won't let banks fail? Was there some secret being passed or was it as John Lennon once famously quipped,
“Our society is run by insane people for insane objectives. I think we're being run by maniacs for maniacal ends...”?
• Here's an example of maniacal: at the top of the market in 2006, Bank of America used over $19 billion of its $21 billion in earnings that year to repurchase stock or pay dividends. Any retention of earnings for leaner times?
Now, a group of international bankers has proposed “counter-cyclical” capital requirements, effectively mandating the establishment of oversized reserves in good times - which can then be used to cover losses during downturns. Don't buy that overpriced stock or pay dividends, sock some of that money away for the inevitable rainy day.
• And that is what we consumers are doing today: saving money now for that next rainy day.
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